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Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Patrick Brady

UncategorizedSettlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $284.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $184.9KEvent: Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Patrick Brady
64.5¢
Lui Maxted payout
35.5¢
Patrick Brady payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lui Maxted · $2.2K net·4 wallets·$3.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLui Maxted$13.8K@ 100¢·0x6982…a165

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-26 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lui Maxted and Patrick Brady in the Roehampton, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lui Maxted' if Lui Maxted advances against Patrick Brady. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Brady' if Patrick Brady advances against Lui Maxted. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 5d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 5d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lui Maxted; negative values favor Patrick Brady. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPatrick Brady · $9.4K
6hPatrick Brady · $3.7K
24hPatrick Brady · $3.7K

Lui Maxted price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lui Maxted price. Patrick Brady fills are converted to the complementary Lui Maxted probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current64.5¢
VWAP 24h77.6¢▼ below by 13.1pp
VWAP 7d77.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lui Maxted price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$16.9K
90¢
$974
85¢
$4.7K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$13.6K
65¢
$1.2K
60¢
← now
$2.7K
55¢
$4.9K
50¢
$2.5K
45¢
$3.3K
40¢
$0
35¢
$14
30¢
$24
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLui Maxted$13.8K@ 99.9¢0x6982…a165🐋—5 days ago