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Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $303.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $228.6KEvent: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels
96.5¢
Cleveland Guardians
3.5¢
Los Angeles Angels
0.5¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution97Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority70Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:77 trades$100.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cleveland Guardians · $20.7K net·4 wallets·$20.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCleveland Guardians$56.8K@ 61¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Cleveland Guardians pressure: $9.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$9.4K
6h
+$81.7K
tracked
$100.1K

4 verified profitable wallets: Cleveland Guardians · $20.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.5¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 70

Since latest large flow: +35.7pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 35.7pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Cleveland Guardians or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-01 01:38 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for August 24 at 9:38PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $87.8K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $17.2K gross
swisstony2 linked markets · $2.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 61.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -5.0pp
Latest book event: Los Angeles Angels DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $60 → $49 · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cleveland Guardians; negative values favor Los Angeles Angels. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCleveland Guardians · $9.4K
6hCleveland Guardians · $81.7K
24hCleveland Guardians · $87.7K

Cleveland Guardians price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cleveland Guardians price. Los Angeles Angels fills are converted to the complementary Cleveland Guardians probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current96.5¢
VWAP 24h64.1¢▲ above by 32.4pp
VWAP 7d64.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cleveland Guardians price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$98
90¢
$5.9K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$243
70¢
$7
65¢
$14.6K
60¢
$69.1K
55¢
$10.1K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCleveland Guardians$10.0K@ 59.9¢
alaskabaked0xaa77…15a5
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$56.8K@ 61.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafCleveland Guardians$56.8K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardCleveland Guardians$16.1K
BUY VWAP 69.6¢·4 fills
alaskabakedCleveland Guardians$10.0K
BUY VWAP 59.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.