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Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobolli

UncategorizedSettlement: Flavio CobolliLiquidity: $1.1MOfficial 24h Vol: $2.1MEvent: Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobolli
0.0¢
Rafael Jodar payout
100.0¢
Flavio Cobolli payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Rafael Jodar · $100.3K net·13 wallets(3🐋)·$264.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRafael Jodar$50.0K@ 87¢·Marcoli

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Flavio Cobolli. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-26 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Flavio Cobolli in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Flavio Cobolli. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWSELL Flavio Cobolli@ 45.0¢4d ago
15m INVALIDATED -39.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
POSITION CHANGESELL Flavio Cobolli@ 45.0¢4d ago
15m INVALIDATED -39.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Rafael Jodar@ 88.0¢4d ago
15m INVALIDATED -28.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Rafael Jodar@ 86.0¢4d ago
15m INVALIDATED -28.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rafael Jodar; negative values favor Flavio Cobolli. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRafael Jodar · $35.7K
6hRafael Jodar · $283.3K
24hRafael Jodar · $280.4K

Rafael Jodar price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rafael Jodar price. Flavio Cobolli fills are converted to the complementary Rafael Jodar probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h53.6¢▼ below by 53.6pp
VWAP 7d53.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rafael Jodar price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$2.5K
85¢
$135.8K
80¢
$111.2K
75¢
$52.9K
70¢
$127.9K
65¢
$34.7K
60¢
$25.3K
55¢
$98.5K
50¢
$45.1K
45¢
$6.3K
40¢
$5.4K
35¢
$2.5K
30¢
$9.6K
25¢
$4.5K
20¢
$31.6K
15¢
$24.0K
10¢
$79.5K
5¢
$31.0K
0¢
← now
$103.5K

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFlavio Cobolli$15.8K@ 99.9¢
anon.1980.1230x4699…e03c
🐋—4 days ago
SELLFlavio Cobolli$11.1K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—4 days ago
SELLFlavio Cobolli$14.5K@ 99.9¢
Secondspring0x9279…4748
🐋—4 days ago
BUYFlavio Cobolli$10.3K@ 89.0¢
anon.1980.1230x4699…e03c
🐋—4 days ago
BUYFlavio Cobolli$13.1K@ 90.0¢
Secondspring0x9279…4748
🐋—4 days ago
BUYFlavio Cobolli$14.9K@ 84.5¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—4 days ago
SELLFlavio Cobolli$22.0K@ 40.5¢0x5f65…2036🐋—4 days ago
SELLFlavio Cobolli$29.0K@ 40.0¢0x5f65…2036🐋—4 days ago
BUYRafael Jodar$18.5K@ 84.0¢
swisstony0x204f…5e14
🐋—4 days ago
BUYRafael Jodar$10.1K@ 84.0¢
tradecraft0xde9f…d43c
🐋—4 days ago
BUYRafael Jodar$10.1K@ 84.0¢
TRCM0x42c9…9623
🐋—4 days ago
BUYRafael Jodar$35.0K@ 84.8¢
Marcoli0xdbbb…05a8
🐋—4 days ago
BUYRafael Jodar$50.0K@ 86.6¢
Marcoli0xdbbb…05a8
🐋—4 days ago
BUYRafael Jodar$16.1K@ 70.3¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—4 days ago
BUYRafael Jodar$19.0K@ 76.1¢0x772f…8145🐋—4 days ago
BUYRafael Jodar$12.0K@ 79.2¢0x772f…8145🐋—4 days ago
BUYFlavio Cobolli$10.0K@ 27.6¢0x5f65…2036🐋—4 days ago
BUYFlavio Cobolli$22.2K@ 27.3¢0x5f65…2036🐋—4 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

MarcoliRafael Jodar$85.0K
BUY VWAP 85.9¢·2 fills
0x772f…8145Rafael Jodar$45.4K
BUY VWAP 78.3¢·4 fills
0x5f65…2036Flavio Cobolli$42.2K
BUY VWAP 28.2¢·4 fills
swisstonyRafael Jodar$36.2K
BUY VWAP 74.5¢·12 fills
HomeRunHazardRafael Jodar$31.2K
BUY VWAP 69.1¢·7 fills
dmoralezRafael Jodar$20.7K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·11 fills
0x66d1…c18fRafael Jodar$20.4K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·9 fills
AGUGavaRafael Jodar$18.8K
BUY VWAP 71.7¢·3 fills
HomeRunHazardFlavio Cobolli$16.8K
BUY VWAP 44.5¢·6 fills
ferrariChampions2026Rafael Jodar$16.1K
BUY VWAP 70.3¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.