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Prague 2: Maxim Mrva vs Nerman Fatic

UncategorizedSettlement: Maxim MrvaLiquidity: $620.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $380.3KEvent: Prague 2: Maxim Mrva vs Nerman Fatic
100.0¢
Maxim Mrva payout
0.0¢
Nerman Fatic payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Maxim Mrva · $5.0K net·7 wallets·$17.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMaxim Mrva$18.3K@ 73¢·HVAB

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Maxim Mrva. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-25 12:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Mrva and Nerman Fatic in the Prague 2, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Mrva' if Maxim Mrva advances against Nerman Fatic. This market will resolve to 'Nerman Fatic' if Nerman Fatic advances against Maxim Mrva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Maxim Mrva5d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Maxim Mrva@ 75.0¢5d ago
15m CONFIRMED +13.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Nerman Fatic5d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Nerman Fatic@ 59.0¢5d ago
15m INVALIDATED -26.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maxim Mrva; negative values favor Nerman Fatic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaxim Mrva · $804
6hNerman Fatic · $7.1K
24hNerman Fatic · $5.8K

Maxim Mrva price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maxim Mrva price. Nerman Fatic fills are converted to the complementary Maxim Mrva probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h67.5¢▲ above by 32.5pp
VWAP 7d67.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Maxim Mrva price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$33.9K
90¢
$4.5K
85¢
$31
80¢
$19.1K
75¢
$1.0K
70¢
$18.9K
65¢
$12.2K
60¢
$16.2K
55¢
$16
50¢
$9.6K
45¢
$31.6K
40¢
$11.0K
35¢
$12.6K
30¢
$7
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMaxim Mrva$13.7K@ 99.9¢
LarryDaddy0xca97…49f6
🐋—5 days ago
BUYMaxim Mrva$18.3K@ 73.0¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—5 days ago
BUYNerman Fatic$11.0K@ 55.9¢0x5f65…2036🐋—5 days ago
SELLNerman Fatic$11.4K@ 53.8¢
phredmoz0xe9d3…079f
🐋—5 days ago
BUYNerman Fatic$11.9K@ 53.4¢
bigoon0x9d3e…986c
🐋—5 days ago
BUYNerman Fatic$12.5K@ 64.0¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—5 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HVABMaxim Mrva$21.8K
BUY VWAP 72.1¢·2 fills
0x5f65…2036Nerman Fatic$16.0K
BUY VWAP 34.8¢·2 fills
bigoonNerman Fatic$15.8K
BUY VWAP 53.8¢·2 fills
LarryDaddyMaxim Mrva$12.9K
BUY VWAP 94.0¢·2 fills
HVABNerman Fatic$12.5K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.