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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles

Sports→Settlement: Tampa Bay RaysLiquidity: $391.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $607.7KEvent: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
100.0¢
Tampa Bay Rays payout
0.0¢
Baltimore Orioles payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:94 trades$309.3K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 423 min agoofficial metadata 398 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tampa Bay Rays · $29.3K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$54.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTampa Bay Rays$35.1K@ 51¢·jknio

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Tampa Bay Rays. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-30 17:35 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for August 23 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SDTrading2 linked markets · $47.5K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $22.4K gross
torta.tech2 linked markets · $2.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Tampa Bay Rays8h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 49.0¢8h ago
15m CONFIRMED +36.0pp1h CONFIRMED +47.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Baltimore Orioles@ 52.0¢10h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h STALLED +2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 49.0¢10h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Baltimore Orioles DOWN 4.6pp · near-book depth $77 → $12 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tampa Bay Rays; negative values favor Baltimore Orioles. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBaltimore Orioles · $4.9K
6hTampa Bay Rays · $13.4K
24hTampa Bay Rays · $7.1K

Tampa Bay Rays price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tampa Bay Rays price. Baltimore Orioles fills are converted to the complementary Tampa Bay Rays probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h67.6¢▲ above by 32.4pp
VWAP 7d67.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tampa Bay Rays price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$54.5K
90¢
$31.3K
85¢
$27.9K
80¢
$11.6K
75¢
$8.4K
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.3K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$63.7K
45¢
$85.3K
40¢
$25.3K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTampa Bay Rays$30.0K@ 99.9¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$24.0K@ 94.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—about 8 hours ago
SELLTampa Bay Rays$18.9K@ 87.2¢
SSsmokey0x3061…dd00
🐋—about 8 hours ago
SELLTampa Bay Rays$11.6K@ 80.0¢
jknio0x6b22…cf22
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$35.1K@ 51.0¢
jknio0x6b22…cf22
🐋—about 9 hours ago
BUYBaltimore Orioles$25.3K@ 56.0¢0xfe54…41d6🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYBaltimore Orioles$11.4K@ 52.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$24.5K@ 49.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$14.3K@ 49.0¢
SSsmokey0x3061…dd00
🐋—about 11 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

jknioTampa Bay Rays$35.1K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
0xfe54…41d6Baltimore Orioles$25.3K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill
SDTradingTampa Bay Rays$24.5K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
FeromontTampa Bay Rays$24.0K
BUY VWAP 94.0¢·1 fill
wr0ngw4yb3tt0rBaltimore Orioles$18.2K
BUY VWAP 52.3¢·5 fills
SSsmokeyTampa Bay Rays$14.3K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
FeromontBaltimore Orioles$11.4K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.