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Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton

UncategorizedSettlement: Jaime FariaLiquidity: $529.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.4MEvent: Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton
100.0¢
Jaime Faria payout
0.0¢
Adam Walton payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Adam Walton · $42.2K net·12 wallets(2🐋)·$121.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLJaime Faria$28.7K@ 100¢·kamloic

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Jaime Faria. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-25 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Adam Walton in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Adam Walton. This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Jaime Faria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPSELL Jaime Faria@ 47.0¢5d ago
15m INVALIDATED -27.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Adam Walton@ 93.0¢5d ago
15m INVALIDATED -49.0pp1h INVALIDATED -38.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Jaime Faria@ 57.0¢5d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Jaime Faria@ 59.0¢5d ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -33.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jaime Faria; negative values favor Adam Walton. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAdam Walton · $84.5K
6hAdam Walton · $46.1K
24hAdam Walton · $62.6K

Jaime Faria price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jaime Faria price. Adam Walton fills are converted to the complementary Jaime Faria probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h59.6¢▲ above by 40.4pp
VWAP 7d59.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jaime Faria price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$98.8K
90¢
$2.8K
85¢
$20.0K
80¢
$11.1K
75¢
$135
70¢
$14.5K
65¢
$1.5K
60¢
$35.8K
55¢
$207.0K
50¢
$29.7K
45¢
$38.2K
40¢
$22.1K
35¢
$27.7K
30¢
$15.0K
25¢
$13.7K
20¢
$30
15¢
$0
10¢
$3.5K
5¢
$33.7K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJaime Faria$10.7K@ 99.9¢
drrd0x8e88…b235
🐋—5 days ago
SELLJaime Faria$28.7K@ 99.9¢
kamloic0x5901…63a2
🐋—5 days ago
SELLJaime Faria$26.1K@ 99.9¢
alaskabaked0xaa77…15a5
🐋—5 days ago
BUYJaime Faria$10.0K@ 56.6¢
Marcoli0xdbbb…05a8
🐋—5 days ago
SELLAdam Walton$20.2K@ 44.3¢
007theone10x1f71…b2e4
🐋—5 days ago
SELLJaime Faria$12.4K@ 35.5¢
AGUGava0x0353…c2ff
🐋—5 days ago
SELLJaime Faria$17.1K@ 50.1¢0x772f…8145🐋—5 days ago
BUYJaime Faria$20.0K@ 85.0¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—5 days ago
BUYAdam Walton$11.7K@ 41.0¢
swisstony0x204f…5e14
🐋—5 days ago
BUYJaime Faria$10.7K@ 60.0¢
n0tTODAY0x89a6…429a
🐋—5 days ago
BUYJaime Faria$10.8K@ 37.6¢
kamloic0x5901…63a2
🐋—5 days ago
BUYJaime Faria$20.0K@ 58.5¢0x772f…8145🐋—5 days ago
BUYJaime Faria$10.0K@ 57.8¢
alaskabaked0xaa77…15a5
🐋—5 days ago
BUYJaime Faria$17.4K@ 58.1¢
AGUGava0x0353…c2ff
🐋—5 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HomeRunHazardAdam Walton$25.8K
BUY VWAP 56.5¢·9 fills
007theone1Adam Walton$25.5K
BUY VWAP 55.9¢·6 fills
AGUGavaJaime Faria$20.3K
BUY VWAP 58.1¢·2 fills
hurricanJaime Faria$20.0K
BUY VWAP 85.0¢·1 fill
0x772f…8145Jaime Faria$20.0K
BUY VWAP 58.5¢·1 fill
alaskabakedJaime Faria$14.9K
BUY VWAP 57.2¢·2 fills
swisstonyAdam Walton$13.4K
BUY VWAP 42.8¢·4 fills
hamloJaime Faria$12.3K
BUY VWAP 65.5¢·2 fills
kamloicJaime Faria$10.8K
BUY VWAP 37.6¢·1 fill
n0tTODAYJaime Faria$10.7K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.