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Cincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Madison Keys

UncategorizedSettlement: Madison KeysLiquidity: $367.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $210.3KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Madison Keys
0.0¢
Katerina Siniakova payout
100.0¢
Madison Keys payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Madison Keys · $18.8K net·5 wallets·$18.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMadison Keys$17.8K@ 100¢·thatsabing0

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Madison Keys. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-25 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Katerina Siniakova and Madison Keys in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katerina Siniakova' if Katerina Siniakova advances against Madison Keys. This market will resolve to 'Madison Keys' if Madison Keys advances against Katerina Siniakova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Madison Keys6d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Madison Keys@ 90.0¢6d ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h CONFIRMED +5.6pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Katerina Siniakova; negative values favor Madison Keys. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMadison Keys · $18.6K
6hMadison Keys · $75.7K
24hMadison Keys · $75.7K

Katerina Siniakova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Katerina Siniakova price. Madison Keys fills are converted to the complementary Katerina Siniakova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h6.8¢▼ below by 6.8pp
VWAP 7d6.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Katerina Siniakova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$6.2K
15¢
$20.4K
10¢
$0
5¢
$7.8K
0¢
← now
$59.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMadison Keys$17.8K@ 99.9¢
thatsabing00xaa3c…5607
🐋—6 days ago
BUYMadison Keys$11.9K@ 97.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—6 days ago
BUYMadison Keys$11.6K@ 98.4¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—6 days ago
BUYMadison Keys$15.4K@ 83.0¢
swy010xe3d4…2bac
🐋—6 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

thatsabing0Madison Keys$17.8K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
swy01Madison Keys$15.4K
BUY VWAP 83.0¢·1 fill
0b1feMadison Keys$11.9K
BUY VWAP 97.0¢·1 fill
hd777Madison Keys$11.6K
BUY VWAP 98.4¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.