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Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

UncategorizedCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $262.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $488.6KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
99.9¢
Taylor Fritz
0.1¢
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Taylor Fritz · $35.8K net·6 wallets(2🐋)·$83.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTaylor Fritz$14.0K@ 100¢·phredmoz

Decision read paused

Market status is CLOSED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

CLOSED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
CLOSED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-25 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 7d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 7d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Daniel Merida Aguilar@ 24.0¢7d ago
15m INVALIDATED -14.0pp1h INVALIDATED -22.9pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Taylor Fritz@ 80.0¢7d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market closed · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Taylor Fritz; negative values favor Daniel Merida Aguilar. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDaniel Merida Aguilar · $5.3K
6hTaylor Fritz · $55.2K
24hTaylor Fritz · $57.1K

Taylor Fritz price VWAP

Volume-weighted Taylor Fritz price. Daniel Merida Aguilar fills are converted to the complementary Taylor Fritz probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h89.2¢▲ above by 10.7pp
VWAP 7d88.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Taylor Fritz price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$85.5K
90¢
$13.1K
85¢
$41.5K
80¢
$37.4K
75¢
$52.3K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTaylor Fritz$14.0K@ 99.9¢
phredmoz0xe9d3…079f
🐋—7 days ago
SELLTaylor Fritz$11.1K@ 97.2¢
dmoralez0x492b…45ee
🐋—7 days ago
BUYTaylor Fritz$11.4K@ 98.0¢
swisstony0x204f…5e14
🐋—7 days ago
BUYTaylor Fritz$11.5K@ 97.9¢
swisstony0x204f…5e14
🐋—7 days ago
BUYTaylor Fritz$11.4K@ 81.0¢
phredmoz0xe9d3…079f
🐋—7 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

swisstonyTaylor Fritz$26.7K
BUY VWAP 96.9¢·4 fills
dmoralezTaylor Fritz$24.7K
BUY VWAP 91.1¢·13 fills
0x5f65…2036Daniel Merida Aguilar$18.0K
BUY VWAP 21.2¢·2 fills
phredmozTaylor Fritz$11.4K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.