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Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges

UncategorizedSettlement: Nuno BorgesLiquidity: $968.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.3MEvent: Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges
0.0¢
Andrey Rublev payout
100.0¢
Nuno Borges payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nuno Borges · $43.7K net·14 wallets(2🐋)·$110.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAndrey Rublev$28.4K@ 64¢·Kulilun

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Nuno Borges. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-25 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Nuno Borges in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Nuno Borges. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Andrey Rublev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Nuno Borges5d ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Nuno Borges@ 81.0¢5d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Nuno Borges@ 62.0¢5d ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Andrey Rublev@ 39.0¢5d ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Andrey Rublev; negative values favor Nuno Borges. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNuno Borges · $35.5K
6hAndrey Rublev · $18.3K
24hAndrey Rublev · $19.9K

Andrey Rublev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Andrey Rublev price. Nuno Borges fills are converted to the complementary Andrey Rublev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h40.9¢▼ below by 40.9pp
VWAP 7d40.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Andrey Rublev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$17.2K
60¢
$143.7K
55¢
$15.2K
50¢
$9.2K
45¢
$12.0K
40¢
$104.1K
35¢
$91.6K
30¢
$24.1K
25¢
$2.5K
20¢
$30.1K
15¢
$21.5K
10¢
$15.7K
5¢
$19.5K
0¢
← now
$32.1K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNuno Borges$12.4K@ 79.7¢0x547f…2937🐋—5 days ago
BUYAndrey Rublev$10.0K@ 41.4¢0x5f65…2036🐋—5 days ago
BUYNuno Borges$10.0K@ 68.0¢0x772f…8145🐋—5 days ago
BUYAndrey Rublev$15.0K@ 40.3¢0x5f65…2036🐋—5 days ago
BUYAndrey Rublev$12.6K@ 63.0¢
ChallengerSpecialist0x5ba6…0f07
🐋—5 days ago
BUYAndrey Rublev$12.3K@ 65.0¢
phredmoz0xe9d3…079f
🐋—5 days ago
BUYAndrey Rublev$16.0K@ 64.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—5 days ago
BUYAndrey Rublev$28.4K@ 64.0¢
Kulilun0xe76f…d40c
🐋—5 days ago
BUYAndrey Rublev$14.1K@ 62.7¢
Kulilun0xe76f…d40c
🐋—5 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KulilunAndrey Rublev$42.5K
BUY VWAP 63.6¢·2 fills
0x5f65…2036Andrey Rublev$34.0K
BUY VWAP 40.4¢·3 fills
0x66d1…c18fNuno Borges$31.4K
BUY VWAP 63.9¢·13 fills
swisstonyNuno Borges$30.3K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·8 fills
0x547f…2937Nuno Borges$17.2K
BUY VWAP 83.2¢·2 fills
quavooNuno Borges$16.6K
BUY VWAP 38.2¢·5 fills
0xf559…f462Andrey Rublev$16.0K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
ChallengerSpecialistAndrey Rublev$15.7K
BUY VWAP 62.6¢·2 fills
0x772f…8145Nuno Borges$13.5K
BUY VWAP 58.1¢·2 fills
phredmozAndrey Rublev$12.3K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.