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Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Christopher O'Connell

UncategorizedSettlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $248.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $137.5KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Christopher O'Connell
50.5¢
Joao Fonseca payout
49.5¢
Christopher OConnell payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Joao Fonseca · $5.1K net·2 wallets·$5.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLJoao Fonseca$7.3K@ 50¢·juanjoc98

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-25 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Fonseca and Christopher O'Connell in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Christopher O'Connell. This market will resolve to 'Christopher O'Connell' if Christopher O'Connell advances against Joao Fonseca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Joao Fonseca; negative values favor Christopher OConnell. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJoao Fonseca · $0
6hChristopher OConnell · $7.4K
24hJoao Fonseca · $4.9K

Joao Fonseca price VWAP

Volume-weighted Joao Fonseca price. Christopher OConnell fills are converted to the complementary Joao Fonseca probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h59.0¢▼ below by 8.5pp
VWAP 7d59.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Joao Fonseca price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$4.0K
75¢
$6.7K
70¢
$3.3K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$32.7K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity