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Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Xinyu Wang

UncategorizedSettlement: Aryna SabalenkaLiquidity: $417.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $388.6KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Xinyu Wang
100.0¢
Aryna Sabalenka payout
0.0¢
Xinyu Wang payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Aryna Sabalenka · $55.5K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$63.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAryna Sabalenka$41.0K@ 91¢·11vsldfdsgfkjgos

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Aryna Sabalenka. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-25 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Xinyu Wang in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Xinyu Wang. This market will resolve to 'Xinyu Wang' if Xinyu Wang advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Aryna Sabalenka@ 91.0¢5d ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h CONFIRMED +8.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Aryna Sabalenka@ 91.0¢5d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aryna Sabalenka; negative values favor Xinyu Wang. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAryna Sabalenka · $49.1K
6hAryna Sabalenka · $160.6K
24hAryna Sabalenka · $163.0K

Aryna Sabalenka price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aryna Sabalenka price. Xinyu Wang fills are converted to the complementary Aryna Sabalenka probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h94.4¢▲ above by 5.6pp
VWAP 7d94.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aryna Sabalenka price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$81.7K
90¢
$108.8K
85¢
$6.1K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAryna Sabalenka$24.3K@ 99.9¢
backback0x996a…e3cc
🐋—5 days ago
BUYAryna Sabalenka$11.3K@ 97.0¢
swisstony0x204f…5e14
🐋—5 days ago
BUYAryna Sabalenka$41.0K@ 91.0¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—5 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

11vsldfdsgfkjgosAryna Sabalenka$44.1K
BUY VWAP 91.0¢·2 fills
backbackAryna Sabalenka$32.2K
BUY VWAP 99.7¢·3 fills
0F62Aryna Sabalenka$31.5K
BUY VWAP 91.0¢·10 fills
swisstonyAryna Sabalenka$17.1K
BUY VWAP 97.4¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.