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Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres

Sports→Settlement: San Diego PadresLiquidity: $419.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $383.2KEvent: Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres
0.0¢
Minnesota Twins payout
100.0¢
San Diego Padres payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:San Diego Padres · $957 net·6 wallets·$12.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSan Diego Padres$86.2K@ 57¢·0x5e94…5ba1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome San Diego Padres. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-30 00:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game.

•This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and San Diego Padres, scheduled for August 22 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY San Diego Padres@ 57.0¢1d ago
15m INVALIDATED -12.0pp1h INVALIDATED -45.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Minnesota Twins; negative values favor San Diego Padres. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSan Diego Padres · $15.5K
6hSan Diego Padres · $94.9K
24hSan Diego Padres · $91.2K

Minnesota Twins price VWAP

Volume-weighted Minnesota Twins price. San Diego Padres fills are converted to the complementary Minnesota Twins probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h41.4¢▼ below by 41.4pp
VWAP 7d41.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Minnesota Twins price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$29
90¢
$1.1K
85¢
$20
80¢
$1.3K
75¢
$2
70¢
$5.1K
65¢
$8.5K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$12.9K
45¢
$0
40¢
$94.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$12.7K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$6.5K
10¢
$65
5¢
$1.2K
0¢
← now
$10.8K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMinnesota Twins$11.7K@ 52.6¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—1 day ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$86.2K@ 57.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5e94…5ba1San Diego Padres$86.2K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill
0x3dfb…abafMinnesota Twins$11.7K
BUY VWAP 52.6¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.