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Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Fils

UncategorizedSettlement: Arthur FilsLiquidity: $423.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $956.3KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Fils
0.0¢
Jiri Lehecka payout
100.0¢
Arthur Fils payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Arthur Fils · $117.2K net·16 wallets(3🐋)·$165.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJiri Lehecka$20.0K@ 22¢·AV23IUa

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Arthur Fils. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-24 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Arthur Fils in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if Jiri Lehecka advances against Arthur Fils. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Jiri Lehecka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Arthur Fils6d ago
Outcome checks pending
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Arthur Fils@ 80.0¢6d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Arthur Fils@ 80.0¢6d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Arthur Fils@ 85.0¢6d ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h INVALIDATED -22.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jiri Lehecka; negative values favor Arthur Fils. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJiri Lehecka · $3.5K
6hArthur Fils · $150.6K
24hArthur Fils · $131.5K

Jiri Lehecka price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jiri Lehecka price. Arthur Fils fills are converted to the complementary Jiri Lehecka probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h24.7¢▼ below by 24.7pp
VWAP 7d24.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jiri Lehecka price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$62.9K
35¢
$101.1K
30¢
$4.8K
25¢
$17.4K
20¢
$42.9K
15¢
$37.5K
10¢
$64.0K
5¢
$29.2K
0¢
← now
$31.4K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYArthur Fils$10.0K@ 91.0¢
Ru3860x1d60…453d
🐋—6 days ago
BUYJiri Lehecka$20.0K@ 21.8¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—6 days ago
BUYArthur Fils$10.0K@ 86.0¢
Ru3860x1d60…453d
🐋—6 days ago
BUYArthur Fils$19.6K@ 88.0¢
swisstony0x204f…5e14
🐋—6 days ago
BUYArthur Fils$10.1K@ 84.5¢
tradecraft0xde9f…d43c
🐋—6 days ago
BUYArthur Fils$14.1K@ 62.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—6 days ago
BUYArthur Fils$14.0K@ 62.0¢
fRibrenlc0x6f3e…bcf8
🐋—6 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

swisstonyArthur Fils$33.8K
BUY VWAP 76.7¢·12 fills
HomeRunHazardArthur Fils$29.2K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·5 fills
ferrariChampions2026Arthur Fils$24.9K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·4 fills
Ru386Arthur Fils$24.8K
BUY VWAP 89.4¢·3 fills
AV23IUaJiri Lehecka$20.0K
BUY VWAP 21.8¢·1 fill
tradecraftArthur Fils$17.6K
BUY VWAP 73.3¢·2 fills
0x076d…8d4cArthur Fils$17.2K
BUY VWAP 84.9¢·4 fills
fRibrenlcArthur Fils$16.1K
BUY VWAP 64.3¢·2 fills
0x5f65…2036Jiri Lehecka$16.0K
BUY VWAP 41.4¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.