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Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo

UncategorizedSettlement: Tommy PaulLiquidity: $324.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $596.2KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo
100.0¢
Tommy Paul payout
0.0¢
Adolfo Vallejo payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTommy Paul$22.6K@ 97¢·hd777

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Tommy Paul. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-24 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Adolfo Vallejo in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Adolfo Vallejo. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL Tommy Paul7d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWSELL Tommy Paul@ 68.0¢7d ago
15m CONFIRMED +8.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Tommy Paul7d ago
Outcome checks pending
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Tommy Paul@ 57.0¢7d ago
15m CONFIRMED +15.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tommy Paul; negative values favor Adolfo Vallejo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAdolfo Vallejo · $8.8K
6hTommy Paul · $41.7K
24hTommy Paul · $45.7K

Tommy Paul price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tommy Paul price. Adolfo Vallejo fills are converted to the complementary Tommy Paul probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h72.0¢▲ above by 28.0pp
VWAP 7d72.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tommy Paul price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$58.6K
90¢
$17.7K
85¢
$3.7K
80¢
$29.4K
75¢
$25.0K
70¢
$8.3K
65¢
$13.4K
60¢
$8.9K
55¢
$6.2K
50¢
$17.5K
45¢
$32.3K
40¢
$5.9K
35¢
$6.2K
30¢
$8.5K
25¢
$1.7K
20¢
$52
15¢
$2.2K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTommy Paul$12.7K@ 99.9¢
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl60xf377…4159
🐋—7 days ago
SELLTommy Paul$11.2K@ 99.9¢0x6982…a165🐋—7 days ago
BUYTommy Paul$22.6K@ 97.0¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—7 days ago
SELLTommy Paul$15.3K@ 76.0¢0x5f65…2036🐋—7 days ago
BUYTommy Paul$10.0K@ 49.7¢0x5f65…2036🐋—7 days ago
BUYTommy Paul$11.2K@ 80.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—7 days ago