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Cincinnati Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Jakub Mensik

UncategorizedSettlement: Jakub MensikLiquidity: $442.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $464.6KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Jakub Mensik
0.0¢
Rinky Hijikata payout
100.0¢
Jakub Mensik payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jakub Mensik · $46.4K net·6 wallets·$48.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJakub Mensik$32.4K@ 100¢·0xAlikz

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Jakub Mensik. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-24 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Rinky Hijikata and Jakub Mensik in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rinky Hijikata' if Rinky Hijikata advances against Jakub Mensik. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Rinky Hijikata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Jakub Mensik6d ago
Outcome checks pending
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Jakub Mensik@ 84.0¢6d ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h CONFIRMED +13.2pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rinky Hijikata; negative values favor Jakub Mensik. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJakub Mensik · $64.8K
6hJakub Mensik · $131.5K
24hJakub Mensik · $144.8K

Rinky Hijikata price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rinky Hijikata price. Jakub Mensik fills are converted to the complementary Rinky Hijikata probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h9.7¢▼ below by 9.7pp
VWAP 7d9.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rinky Hijikata price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$17.4K
20¢
$46.0K
15¢
$10.2K
10¢
$10.4K
5¢
$12.0K
0¢
← now
$98.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJakub Mensik$32.4K@ 99.9¢
0xAlikz0x2037…473d
🐋—6 days ago
BUYJakub Mensik$11.6K@ 99.2¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—6 days ago
BUYJakub Mensik$13.4K@ 97.9¢
TrajanCapital0x6f2e…9d0b
🐋—6 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xAlikzJakub Mensik$32.4K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
swisstonyJakub Mensik$24.2K
BUY VWAP 92.0¢·8 fills
hd777Jakub Mensik$18.5K
BUY VWAP 99.1¢·5 fills
TrajanCapitalJakub Mensik$13.4K
BUY VWAP 97.9¢·1 fill
TRCMJakub Mensik$12.2K
BUY VWAP 80.5¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.