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Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Anna Kalinskaya

UncategorizedSettlement: Sorana CirsteaLiquidity: $197.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $930.8KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Anna Kalinskaya
100.0¢
Sorana Cirstea payout
0.0¢
Anna Kalinskaya payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Sorana Cirstea · $115.7K net·11 wallets(2🐋)·$188.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSorana Cirstea$59.0K@ 59¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Sorana Cirstea. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-24 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sorana Cirstea and Anna Kalinskaya in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sorana Cirstea' if Sorana Cirstea advances against Anna Kalinskaya. This market will resolve to 'Anna Kalinskaya' if Anna Kalinskaya advances against Sorana Cirstea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Sorana Cirstea6d ago
Outcome checks pending
WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Sorana Cirstea@ 65.0¢6d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Sorana Cirstea@ 60.0¢6d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Sorana Cirstea@ 63.0¢6d ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sorana Cirstea; negative values favor Anna Kalinskaya. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAnna Kalinskaya · $46.3K
6hSorana Cirstea · $109.0K
24hSorana Cirstea · $102.2K

Sorana Cirstea price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sorana Cirstea price. Anna Kalinskaya fills are converted to the complementary Sorana Cirstea probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h62.9¢▲ above by 37.1pp
VWAP 7d62.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sorana Cirstea price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$75.7K
90¢
$8.8K
85¢
$5.2K
80¢
$10.5K
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.9K
65¢
$18.3K
60¢
$64.4K
55¢
$127.5K
50¢
$26.0K
45¢
$33.6K
40¢
$7.2K
35¢
$13.9K
30¢
$7.9K
25¢
$0
20¢
$33.5K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLSorana Cirstea$16.0K@ 99.9¢0x5fd2…afce🐋—6 days ago
SELLSorana Cirstea$24.4K@ 99.9¢
kamloic0x5901…63a2
🐋—6 days ago
BUYSorana Cirstea$20.4K@ 60.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—6 days ago
BUYSorana Cirstea$42.1K@ 59.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—6 days ago
BUYSorana Cirstea$59.0K@ 59.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—6 days ago
BUYAnna Kalinskaya$11.7K@ 41.0¢
Eztennis0x4be1…aa70
🐋—6 days ago
SELLAnna Kalinskaya$27.3K@ 76.0¢0x5f65…2036🐋—6 days ago
BUYAnna Kalinskaya$18.0K@ 50.1¢0x5f65…2036🐋—6 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Sorana Cirstea$122.5K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·4 fills
EztennisAnna Kalinskaya$20.7K
BUY VWAP 40.2¢·3 fills
0x5f65…2036Anna Kalinskaya$18.0K
BUY VWAP 50.1¢·1 fill
HVABSorana Cirstea$15.0K
BUY VWAP 71.6¢·3 fills
alaskabakedSorana Cirstea$13.0K
BUY VWAP 54.1¢·3 fills
HomeRunHazardSorana Cirstea$12.9K
BUY VWAP 71.2¢·6 fills
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6Anna Kalinskaya$10.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.