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Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller

UncategorizedSettlement: Jan KumstatLiquidity: $330.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $451.2KEvent: Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller
100.0¢
Jan Kumstat payout
0.0¢
Marvin Moeller payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMarvin Moeller$22.7K@ 69¢·0x5f65…2036

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Jan Kumstat. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Kumstat and Marvin Moeller in the Hamburg, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Kumstat' if Jan Kumstat advances against Marvin Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Marvin Moeller' if Marvin Moeller advances against Jan Kumstat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 8d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWSELL Marvin Moeller@ 69.0¢8d ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h INVALIDATED -9.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Marvin Moeller@ 39.0¢8d ago
15m CONFIRMED +23.0pp1h CONFIRMED +22.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jan Kumstat; negative values favor Marvin Moeller. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMarvin Moeller · $25.7K
6hMarvin Moeller · $25.9K
24hMarvin Moeller · $24.3K

Jan Kumstat price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jan Kumstat price. Marvin Moeller fills are converted to the complementary Jan Kumstat probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h57.8¢▲ above by 42.2pp
VWAP 7d57.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jan Kumstat price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$26.7K
90¢
$17.6K
85¢
$5.9K
80¢
$380
75¢
$16
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$9.7K
55¢
$17.9K
50¢
$16.9K
45¢
$5.7K
40¢
$14.0K
35¢
$30.9K
30¢
$31.1K
25¢
$24
20¢
$23
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJan Kumstat$14.5K@ 99.9¢
MMzz3980x2978…b511
🐋—8 days ago
BUYJan Kumstat$10.6K@ 91.0¢
swisstony0x204f…5e14
🐋—8 days ago
BUYMarvin Moeller$10.4K@ 65.0¢
BLAHBLAHBLAH-2980x0210…4deb
🐋—8 days ago
SELLMarvin Moeller$22.7K@ 69.4¢0x5f65…2036🐋—8 days ago
BUYMarvin Moeller$10.0K@ 43.9¢0x5f65…2036🐋—8 days ago