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Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $280.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $296.4KEvent: Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers
12.5¢
YES
87.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection30Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets58Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 82%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:89 trades$201.6K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 68%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$21.0K·4 wallets·$36.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMilwaukee Brewers (NO)$17.5K@ 57¢·N34

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$59.5K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$59.5K
6h
−$66.0K
tracked
$201.6K

4 verified profitable wallets: +$21.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 82% · priority 0

Since latest confirmed build: +4.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-28 20:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for August 21 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SDTrading2 linked markets · $37.3K gross
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r3 linked markets · $29.6K gross
0x927c…66332 linked markets · $28.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 84.0¢26m ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Atlanta Braves@ 43.0¢56m ago
15m INVALIDATED -25.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 57.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +27.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 57.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
Latest book event: YES DOWN 3.5pp · near-book depth $31.7K → $354 · 18s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$59.5K
6h−$66.0K
24h−$88.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current12.5¢
VWAP 24h37.8¢▼ below by 25.3pp
VWAP 7d37.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$11.0K
40¢
$142.9K
35¢
$4.4K
30¢
$7
25¢
$11.1K
20¢
$0
15¢
$22.9K
10¢
← now
$9.3K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (NO)$10.0K@ 83.0¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—18 minutes ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (NO)$11.0K@ 55.0¢0x927c…6633🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (NO)$15.0K@ 57.0¢
Kosherlocks0x8239…d9a3
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves (YES)$13.0K@ 44.0¢
Laizans0xd0fd…a7da
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (NO)$17.1K@ 57.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (NO)$17.5K@ 57.0¢
N340xfd67…ef90
🐋—about 10 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HomeRunHazardAtlanta Braves$18.7K
BUY VWAP 37.3¢·6 fills
N34Milwaukee Brewers$17.5K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill
0x927c…6633Milwaukee Brewers$17.5K
BUY VWAP 56.2¢·3 fills
AV23IUaMilwaukee Brewers$17.1K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill
KosherlocksMilwaukee Brewers$15.0K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill
LaizansAtlanta Braves$13.0K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·1 fill
ROI-ValueMilwaukee Brewers$10.3K
BUY VWAP 69.7¢·3 fills
sbsignerMilwaukee Brewers$10.2K
BUY VWAP 57.3¢·2 fills
beeemwMilwaukee Brewers$10.0K
BUY VWAP 83.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.