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Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sofia Kenin

UncategorizedSettlement: Marta KostyukLiquidity: $321.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $731.3KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sofia Kenin
100.0¢
Marta Kostyuk payout
0.0¢
Sofia Kenin payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLSofia Kenin$37.7K@ 64¢·0x5f65…2036

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Marta Kostyuk. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Sofia Kenin in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marta Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Sofia Kenin. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Kenin' if Sofia Kenin advances against Marta Kostyuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marta Kostyuk; negative values favor Sofia Kenin. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMarta Kostyuk · $42.5K
6hMarta Kostyuk · $82.6K
24hMarta Kostyuk · $82.6K

Marta Kostyuk price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marta Kostyuk price. Sofia Kenin fills are converted to the complementary Marta Kostyuk probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h69.4¢▲ above by 30.6pp
VWAP 7d69.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marta Kostyuk price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$67.9K
90¢
$17.4K
85¢
$8.7K
80¢
$11.3K
75¢
$7.1K
70¢
$17.3K
65¢
$19.7K
60¢
$7.3K
55¢
$27.2K
50¢
$30.0K
45¢
$2.5K
40¢
$2.1K
35¢
$50.7K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMarta Kostyuk$13.5K@ 98.1¢
swisstony0x204f…5e14
🐋—9 days ago
SELLSofia Kenin$12.7K@ 65.0¢0x5f65…2036🐋—9 days ago
SELLSofia Kenin$37.7K@ 64.5¢0x5f65…2036🐋—9 days ago
BUYMarta Kostyuk$15.6K@ 52.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—9 days ago