PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Cincinnati Open: Daria Snigur vs Madison Keys

● quote 1 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $384.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $270.6KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Daria Snigur vs Madison Keys
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets63Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:101 trades$112.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$30.7K·4 wallets(1🐋)·$48.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDaria Snigur (YES)$15.9K@ 55¢·RN1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$4.6K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$4.6K
6h
+$37.1K
tracked
$112.1K

4 verified profitable wallets: +$30.7K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -59.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-23 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Snigur and Madison Keys in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Snigur' if Daria Snigur advances against Madison Keys. This market will resolve to 'Madison Keys' if Madison Keys advances against Daria Snigur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Daria Snigur@ 60.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -24.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $13.5K → $2.5K · 21s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$4.6K
6h+$37.1K
24h+$37.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h41.7¢▼ below by 41.6pp
VWAP 7d41.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.4K
65¢
$2.2K
60¢
$19.5K
55¢
$19.6K
50¢
$20.0K
45¢
$3.3K
40¢
$9
35¢
$1.1K
30¢
$10.7K
25¢
$14.6K
20¢
$1.3K
15¢
$2.2K
10¢
$11
5¢
$2.5K
0¢
← now
$13.6K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLMadison Keys (NO)$10.1K@ 99.9¢0xaa77…15a5🐋—29 minutes ago
BUYDaria Snigur (YES)$15.9K@ 55.0¢
RN10x2005…75ea
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDaria Snigur (YES)$11.7K@ 55.0¢
RN10x2005…75ea
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

RN1Daria Snigur$27.5K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·3 fills
0x5268…135dDaria Snigur$10.4K
BUY VWAP 62.5¢·3 fills
0x076d…8d4cDaria Snigur$10.4K
BUY VWAP 45.5¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.