PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

● quote just now
UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $457.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $218.2KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
60.5¢
YES
39.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection28Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution86Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 79%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:41 trades$75.6K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 58%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 59s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$7.9K·2 wallets·$7.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArthur Rinderknech (YES)$21.4K@ 57¢·HBAFlover98

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW YES SETUP
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$21.5K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$21.5K
6h
+$16.1K
tracked
$75.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$7.9K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 79% · priority 65

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-23 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Arthur Rinderknech. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $644 → $22.6K · 5s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$21.5K
6h+$16.1K
24h+$18.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current60.5¢
VWAP 24h62.1¢▼ below by 1.6pp
VWAP 7d62.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$28
85¢
$3.2K
80¢
$6.0K
75¢
$3.4K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
← now
$9.4K
55¢
$53.6K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYArthur Rinderknech (YES)$21.4K@ 57.0¢
HBAFlover980xac47…d234
🐋—12 minutes ago
BUYJuan Manuel Cerundolo (NO)$11.9K@ 40.7¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 2 hours ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HBAFlover98Arthur Rinderknech$21.4K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill
0x5f65…2036Juan Manuel Cerundolo$15.2K
BUY VWAP 33.8¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.