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LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Sports→Settlement: NOLiquidity: $522.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.9MEvent: LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
0.0¢
YES payout
100.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:471 trades$783.5K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 10s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $14.2K·5 wallets(2🐋)·$36.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYT1 (NO)$49.0K@ 72¢·111111111115

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome NO. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-21 17:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between KT Rolster and T1 in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against KT Rolster. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
1111111111153 linked markets · $260.8K gross
2543217583 linked markets · $97.9K gross
0x1610…ae493 linked markets · $89.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY T1@ 68.0¢3h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY T1@ 68.0¢3h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY KT Rolster@ 29.0¢5h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h CONFIRMED +26.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY T1@ 72.0¢9h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h INVALIDATED -5.0pp
Latest book event: NO DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $2.9K → $3.8K · 1s

Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$12.9K
6h−$102.5K
24h−$177.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h23.6¢▼ below by 23.6pp
VWAP 7d23.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$469
65¢
$2.0K
60¢
$900
55¢
$44.1K
50¢
$5.1K
45¢
$6.6K
40¢
$115
35¢
$7.7K
30¢
$178.9K
25¢
$334.6K
20¢
$26.4K
15¢
$1.2K
10¢
$2.3K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$199.7K

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLT1 (NO)$10.2K@ 99.9¢0x3078…a2cb🐋—32 minutes ago
SELLT1 (NO)$30.8K@ 99.9¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLT1 (NO)$10.3K@ 99.9¢
Skyfker0x57b4…b46b
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYT1 (NO)$15.1K@ 99.5¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYT1 (NO)$25.0K@ 99.5¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYKT Rolster (YES)$12.3K@ 30.8¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYT1 (NO)$16.1K@ 74.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYT1 (NO)$49.0K@ 72.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYT1 (NO)$31.7K@ 72.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYT1 (NO)$48.1K@ 70.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYT1 (NO)$10.1K@ 72.0¢
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYT1 (NO)$45.8K@ 71.0¢
TAIWANNUMBERONE0xe015…6ffd
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYKT Rolster (YES)$12.3K@ 29.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

111111111115T1$144.9K
BUY VWAP 71.5¢·4 fills
TAIWANNUMBERONET1$45.8K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·1 fill
0x870f…6da1KT Rolster$43.5K
BUY VWAP 29.0¢·15 fills
254321758T1$32.3K
BUY VWAP 94.5¢·3 fills
0x1610…ae49T1$20.2K
BUY VWAP 75.5¢·6 fills
0xb487…86d7T1$17.5K
BUY VWAP 71.5¢·4 fills
Sisyphus.T1$15.1K
BUY VWAP 99.5¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49KT Rolster$13.8K
BUY VWAP 30.9¢·2 fills
Lakersfan111KT Rolster$12.3K
BUY VWAP 29.0¢·1 fill
madkkeeT1$12.2K
BUY VWAP 70.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.