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Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

UncategorizedSettlement: AuroraLiquidity: $496.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.8MEvent: Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage
100.0¢
Aurora payout
0.0¢
Team Yandex payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAurora$23.1K@ 100¢·papuas

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Aurora. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-14 16:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Team Yandex.

•This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against Aurora.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Aurora and Team Yandex in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Team Yandex. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 14, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Aurora@ 18.0¢10d ago
15m CONFIRMED +17.0pp1h CONFIRMED +22.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY Aurora@ 40.0¢10d ago
15m INVALIDATED -18.0pp1h INVALIDATED -21.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Aurora@ 38.0¢10d ago
15m INVALIDATED -16.0pp1h INVALIDATED -19.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Aurora@ 36.0¢10d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h INVALIDATED -19.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aurora; negative values favor Team Yandex. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Yandex · $9.0K
6hTeam Yandex · $53.5K
24hTeam Yandex · $42.8K

Aurora price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aurora price. Team Yandex fills are converted to the complementary Aurora probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h51.2¢▲ above by 48.8pp
VWAP 7d51.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aurora price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$111.2K
90¢
$5.4K
85¢
$5.4K
80¢
$1.7K
75¢
$9.0K
70¢
$18.6K
65¢
$3.0K
60¢
$12.0K
55¢
$16.7K
50¢
$13.9K
45¢
$12.5K
40¢
$151.9K
35¢
$100.8K
30¢
$37.6K
25¢
$15.1K
20¢
$44
15¢
$73.5K
10¢
$10.2K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAurora$23.1K@ 99.9¢
papuas0x4572…83ff
🐋—9 days ago
BUYTeam Yandex$10.2K@ 60.0¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—9 days ago
SELLTeam Yandex$13.7K@ 67.0¢
lIlIlIllllIIIII0xcd66…664f
🐋—9 days ago
BUYAurora$12.0K@ 19.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—10 days ago
BUYAurora$10.0K@ 38.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—10 days ago
BUYAurora$15.0K@ 37.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—10 days ago