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Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage

UncategorizedSettlement: Iron WingLiquidity: $144.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage
100.0¢
Iron Wing payout
0.0¢
Team Falcons payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLIron Wing$33.6K@ 100¢·NemecGhudini

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Iron Wing. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-14 11:50 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Iron Wing" if Iron Wing win the match against Team Falcons.

•This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Iron Wing.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Iron Wing and Team Falcons in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Iron Wing" if Iron Wing win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Iron Wing. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 14, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 21, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Team Falcons@ 56.0¢11d ago
15m INVALIDATED -36.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Falcons@ 56.0¢11d ago
15m INVALIDATED -36.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY Team Falcons@ 60.0¢11d ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -51.9pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Falcons@ 60.0¢11d ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -51.9pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Iron Wing; negative values favor Team Falcons. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Falcons · $8.7K
6hTeam Falcons · $219.9K
24hTeam Falcons · $239.7K

Iron Wing price VWAP

Volume-weighted Iron Wing price. Team Falcons fills are converted to the complementary Iron Wing probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h79.3¢▲ above by 20.7pp
VWAP 7d79.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Iron Wing price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$255.3K
90¢
$9.5K
85¢
$9.5K
80¢
$10.5K
75¢
$11.9K
70¢
$6.5K
65¢
$11.1K
60¢
$29.5K
55¢
$2.4K
50¢
$5.3K
45¢
$8.3K
40¢
$53.5K
35¢
$53.5K
30¢
$211
25¢
$1.9K
20¢
$77
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLIron Wing$33.6K@ 99.9¢
NemecGhudini0xa7e2…9e36
🐋—11 days ago
SELLIron Wing$11.1K@ 99.9¢
catbusiness0xde24…4ded
🐋—11 days ago
SELLIron Wing$30.0K@ 99.9¢
CyberScore.live0x3413…8ff2
🐋—11 days ago
SELLIron Wing$16.9K@ 99.9¢
gxxyy0x4aec…4ce9
🐋—11 days ago
SELLIron Wing$29.5K@ 99.9¢
papuas0x4572…83ff
🐋—11 days ago
SELLIron Wing$13.3K@ 99.9¢
Roulette10x05a7…42e6
🐋—11 days ago
SELLIron Wing$12.0K@ 99.9¢0x8992…ed1f🐋—11 days ago
BUYTeam Falcons$10.0K@ 58.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—11 days ago
BUYTeam Falcons$30.0K@ 62.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—11 days ago