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Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner

● quote 41s ago
UncategorizedCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $264.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $127.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group A
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection61Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets8Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 68%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:42 trades$16.8K trackedsource coverage 13%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBushido Wildcats (YES)$3.9K@ 100¢·0xb077…8fe8

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$10.2K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$10.2K
6h
−$6.8K
tracked
$16.8K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$771 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 68% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-13 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between Bushido Wildcats and ex-RUSTEC in the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group A, initially scheduled for August 13 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bushido Wildcats" if Bushido Wildcats win Map 2 against ex-RUSTEC. This market will resolve to "ex-RUSTEC" if ex-RUSTEC win Map 2 against Bushido Wildcats. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
5e46h2 linked markets · $5.4K gross
0xf9d6…730a2 linked markets · $5.0K gross
0x6e2c…787c2 linked markets · $412 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $160 → $659 · 11s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$10.2K
6h−$6.8K
24h−$6.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h92.9¢▲ above by 7.1pp
VWAP 7d92.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$12.5K
90¢
$45
85¢
$1.9K
80¢
$175
75¢
$20
70¢
$1.1K
65¢
$123
60¢
$1
55¢
$20
50¢
$284
45¢
$121
40¢
$110
35¢
$88
30¢
$143
25¢
$82
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group A
100.0¢$103.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.