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Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner

Sports→Settlement: TheMongolzLiquidity: $324.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $453.0KEvent: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D
100.0¢
TheMongolz payout
0.0¢
Natus Vincere payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTheMongolz$6.1K@ 100¢·Zelenskys-suit

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome TheMongolz. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-15 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 2 against Natus Vincere.

•This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against TheMongolz.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between TheMongolz and Natus Vincere in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 15 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against TheMongolz. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor TheMongolz; negative values favor Natus Vincere. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTheMongolz · $0
6hNatus Vincere · $21.4K
24hNatus Vincere · $21.4K

TheMongolz price VWAP

Volume-weighted TheMongolz price. Natus Vincere fills are converted to the complementary TheMongolz probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h53.2¢▲ above by 46.8pp
VWAP 7d53.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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TheMongolz price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$13.7K
90¢
$3.6K
85¢
$1.5K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$2.0K
65¢
$0
60¢
$16.3K
55¢
$5.0K
50¢
$5.5K
45¢
$6.7K
40¢
$13.0K
35¢
$3.3K
30¢
$8.0K
25¢
$24.4K
20¢
$717
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.