The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs Southern Brave

● quote 54 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $312.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $246.8KEvent: The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs Southern Brave
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly43Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:69 trades$85.7K trackedsource coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 93 min agoofficial metadata 57 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSunrisers Leeds (YES)$8.1K@ 67¢·0x6e02…d70a

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$1.1K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.1K
6h
+$29.6K
tracked
$85.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$3.9K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -35.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 54 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 93 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 57 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-21 09:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the cricket match between Sunrisers Leeds and Southern Brave scheduled for August 14 2026 in The Hundred, Women. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Southern Brave@ 36.0¢4h ago
15m INVALIDATED -13.0pp1h INVALIDATED -20.0pp
Latest book event: YES UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $36.4K$46.9K · 83s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$1.1K
6h+$29.6K
24h+$29.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h63.0¢▲ above by 36.9pp
VWAP 7d63.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.1K
90¢
$19
85¢
$68
80¢
$13.4K
75¢
$10.8K
70¢
$5
65¢
$9.2K
60¢
$20.4K
55¢
$13.3K
50¢
$3.9K
45¢
$0
40¢
$6.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$7.2K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x6e02…d70aSouthern Brave$24.1K
BUY VWAP 47.7¢·7 fills
0x6e02…d70aSunrisers Leeds$18.0K
BUY VWAP 68.9¢·10 fills
0xe911…3d4eSunrisers Leeds$14.8K
BUY VWAP 79.8¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.