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LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Sports→Settlement: Natus VincereLiquidity: $278.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $379.0KEvent: LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
100.0¢
Natus Vincere payout
0.0¢
Team Heretics payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNatus Vincere$22.3K@ 69¢·sulumos

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Natus Vincere. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-17 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Team Heretics.

•This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win the match against Natus Vincere.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Natus Vincere and Team Heretics in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 17 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Team Heretics. This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Team Heretics@ 31.0¢23d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -5.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Natus Vincere@ 71.0¢23d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Natus Vincere; negative values favor Team Heretics. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNatus Vincere · $0
6hTeam Heretics · $21.5K
24hNatus Vincere · $7.6K

Natus Vincere price VWAP

Volume-weighted Natus Vincere price. Team Heretics fills are converted to the complementary Natus Vincere probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h77.7¢▲ above by 22.3pp
VWAP 7d77.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Natus Vincere price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$27.1K
90¢
$38
85¢
$18.1K
80¢
$26
75¢
$1.4K
70¢
$46.1K
65¢
$47.3K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam Heretics$18.2K@ 31.4¢
Zzzz870x2117…5c26
🐋—23 days ago
BUYNatus Vincere$22.3K@ 69.0¢
sulumos0x9db8…2eff
🐋—23 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.