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Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)

Sports→Settlement: New York YankeesLiquidity: $194.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $120.7KEvent: Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees
0.0¢
Seattle Mariners payout
100.0¢
New York Yankees payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSeattle Mariners$7.4K@ 47¢·ethanaz

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome New York Yankees. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-12 23:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game by 3 or more runs.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "New York Yankees". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "New York Yankees".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 12 at 7:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "New York Yankees". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "New York Yankees". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Seattle Mariners; negative values favor New York Yankees. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNew York Yankees · $25
6hSeattle Mariners · $26.3K
24hSeattle Mariners · $26.3K

Seattle Mariners price VWAP

Volume-weighted Seattle Mariners price. New York Yankees fills are converted to the complementary Seattle Mariners probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h46.5¢▼ below by 46.5pp
VWAP 7d46.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Seattle Mariners price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$4.7K
45¢
$33.8K
40¢
$3.7K
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.1K
25¢
$1
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$25

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.