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Jaguars vs. Broncos

Sports→Settlement: BroncosLiquidity: $367.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $2.4MEvent: Jaguars vs. Broncos
0.0¢
Jaguars payout
100.0¢
Broncos payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Broncos · $14.5K net·20 wallets(2🐋)·$191.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBroncos$99.8K@ 57¢·surfandturf

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Broncos. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-20 20:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Jaguars wins, the market will resolve to "Jaguars".

•If Broncos wins, the market will resolve to "Broncos".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 4:05PM ET: If Jaguars wins, the market will resolve to "Jaguars". If Broncos wins, the market will resolve to "Broncos". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r2 linked markets · $173.0K gross
RN17 linked markets · $52.2K gross
HomeRunHazard4 linked markets · $44.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Broncos6d ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Broncos@ 84.0¢6d ago
15m CONFIRMED +10.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Jaguars6d ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGEBUY Jaguars@ 72.0¢6d ago
15m CONFIRMED +9.0pp1h INVALIDATED -42.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jaguars; negative values favor Broncos. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBroncos · $17.0K
6hJaguars · $55.4K
24hJaguars · $103.4K

Jaguars price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jaguars price. Broncos fills are converted to the complementary Jaguars probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h48.1¢▼ below by 48.1pp
VWAP 7d48.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jaguars price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$2.4K
75¢
$26.3K
70¢
$52.0K
65¢
$18.0K
60¢
$168.3K
55¢
$119.0K
50¢
$105.9K
45¢
$107.6K
40¢
$326.1K
35¢
$16.7K
30¢
$29.5K
25¢
$37.3K
20¢
$2.2K
15¢
$44.7K
10¢
$6.5K
5¢
$7.2K
0¢
← now
$24.0K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBroncos$14.0K@ 95.5¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋—6 days ago
BUYBroncos$15.0K@ 81.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—6 days ago
SELLBroncos$11.3K@ 73.0¢0xfc08…a137🐋—6 days ago
BUYBroncos$20.0K@ 66.3¢0xfc08…a137🐋—6 days ago
BUYJaguars$12.2K@ 56.5¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—6 days ago
BUYJaguars$13.0K@ 72.0¢
jarosbill0x927c…6633
🐋—6 days ago
BUYJaguars$11.6K@ 58.0¢
Yellow-Fever0xda85…1ca7
🐋—6 days ago
SELLJaguars$11.2K@ 56.0¢
Yellow-Fever0xda85…1ca7
🐋—6 days ago
BUYJaguars$11.2K@ 56.0¢
Yellow-Fever0xda85…1ca7
🐋—6 days ago
BUYJaguars$14.2K@ 62.0¢
Yellow-Fever0xda85…1ca7
🐋—6 days ago
BUYJaguars$13.2K@ 62.0¢
sifonman0x6ac9…e85a
🐋—6 days ago
BUYJaguars$11.7K@ 62.0¢
mirotvorets0x7d9d…3c52
🐋—6 days ago
BUYJaguars$16.7K@ 62.0¢
Yellow-Fever0xda85…1ca7
🐋—6 days ago
BUYJaguars$10.0K@ 62.0¢
gityu0x4f21…82d6
🐋—6 days ago
BUYJaguars$20.0K@ 62.9¢0xf559…f462🐋—6 days ago
BUYJaguars$20.0K@ 63.3¢0xf559…f462🐋—6 days ago
BUYJaguars$13.5K@ 66.0¢0xd3a0…f136🐋—6 days ago
BUYJaguars$11.1K@ 51.3¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—6 days ago
BUYBroncos$10.5K@ 51.0¢
YEEES-but-why0x9052…3c2d
🐋—6 days ago
BUYBroncos$12.9K@ 51.0¢
sifonman0x6ac9…e85a
🐋—6 days ago
BUYBroncos$99.8K@ 57.0¢
surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8
🐋—6 days ago
BUYBroncos$22.8K@ 57.0¢
phonesculptor0xf152…64aa
🐋—6 days ago
BUYJaguars$12.5K@ 44.0¢
jdfngkdjfnfd0x6f65…172c
🐋—6 days ago
BUYJaguars$47.6K@ 44.0¢
ChonkyChocolateCake0xf23c…9f81
🐋—6 days ago
BUYJaguars$42.9K@ 43.0¢
BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c
🐋—6 days ago
BUYJaguars$15.0K@ 43.0¢0xb4f9…c9a7🐋—6 days ago
BUYBroncos$25.0K@ 58.0¢0xb4f9…c9a7🐋—6 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

wr0ngw4yb3tt0rJaguars$118.3K
BUY VWAP 51.5¢·26 fills
surfandturfBroncos$99.8K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill
Yellow-FeverJaguars$53.8K
BUY VWAP 59.8¢·4 fills
BreakTheBankJaguars$48.4K
BUY VWAP 42.9¢·2 fills
ChonkyChocolateCakeJaguars$47.6K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·1 fill
0xf559…f462Jaguars$40.0K
BUY VWAP 63.1¢·2 fills
0xfc08…a137Broncos$28.0K
BUY VWAP 59.9¢·2 fills
wr0ngw4yb3tt0rBroncos$26.6K
BUY VWAP 49.3¢·5 fills
0xb4f9…c9a7Broncos$25.0K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
phonesculptorBroncos$22.8K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.