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Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner

UncategorizedCloses: 11 daysLiquidity: $363.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $568.6KEvent: Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage
99.9¢
Aurora
0.1¢
GamerLegion
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAurora$77.5K@ 100¢·0xe16d…5e30

Decision read paused

Market status is CLOSED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

CLOSED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
CLOSED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-13 12:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against GamerLegion.

•This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win Game 1 against Aurora.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Aurora and GamerLegion in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against GamerLegion. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win Game 1 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 11d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 11d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Aurora@ 82.0¢11d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Aurora11d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Aurora@ 69.0¢11d ago
15m INVALIDATED -33.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market closed · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aurora; negative values favor GamerLegion. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGamerLegion · $6.6K
6hGamerLegion · $76.7K
24hGamerLegion · $76.7K

Aurora price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aurora price. GamerLegion fills are converted to the complementary Aurora probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h87.2¢▲ above by 12.7pp
VWAP 7d87.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aurora price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$161.6K
90¢
$95
85¢
$3.6K
80¢
$1.1K
75¢
$2.3K
70¢
$22.5K
65¢
$5.5K
60¢
$9.1K
55¢
$2.9K
50¢
$100
45¢
$5
40¢
$1
35¢
$3.9K
30¢
$17.6K
25¢
$19
20¢
$397
15¢
$48
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAurora$77.5K@ 99.9¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—11 days ago
SELLAurora$11.1K@ 99.9¢
papuas0x4572…83ff
🐋—11 days ago
SELLAurora$10.3K@ 99.9¢
gxxyy0x4aec…4ce9
🐋—11 days ago
BUYAurora$11.3K@ 30.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—11 days ago
BUYAurora$10.0K@ 72.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—11 days ago