LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner

● quote 1 min ago
SportsCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $1.1MOfficial 24h Vol: $548.4KEvent: LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets22Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:211 trades$223.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$14.1K·4 wallets(1🐋)·$63.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLKiwoom DRX (NO)$25.7K@ 100¢·five5120

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$43.0K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$43.0K
6h
+$43.4K
tracked
$223.7K

4 verified profitable wallets: +$14.1K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -94.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-10 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between DN SOOPers and Kiwoom DRX in the KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier, initially scheduled for August 10 at 4:15AM ET. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 1 against Kiwoom DRX. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win Game 1 against DN SOOPers. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
5e46h2 linked markets · $100.0K gross
0xc69b…20763 linked markets · $57.3K gross
0x2c33…05633 linked markets · $41.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY NO@ 94.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO DOWN 4.8pp · near-book depth $85$90 · 6s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$43.0K
6h+$43.4K
24h+$43.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h23.0¢▼ below by 22.9pp
VWAP 7d23.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.2K
75¢
$6.4K
70¢
$8.9K
65¢
$5.5K
60¢
$1.9K
55¢
$10.3K
50¢
$2.5K
45¢
$10.5K
40¢
$23.4K
35¢
$16.9K
30¢
$0
25¢
$6.9K
20¢
$6.5K
15¢
$6.9K
10¢
$1.6K
5¢
$7.4K
0¢
← now
$98.6K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLKiwoom DRX (NO)$25.7K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYKiwoom DRX (NO)$18.9K@ 99.9¢0x9a40…840e🐋about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x9a40…840eKiwoom DRX$18.9K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
0xc69b…2076DN SOOPers$14.6K
BUY VWAP 70.0¢·10 fills
five5120Kiwoom DRX$10.0K
BUY VWAP 63.4¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.