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Todi: Murkel Dellien vs Daniel Galan

UncategorizedSettlement: Daniel GalanLiquidity: $271.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $702.8KEvent: Todi: Murkel Dellien vs Daniel Galan
0.0¢
Murkel Dellien payout
100.0¢
Daniel Galan payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMurkel Dellien$22.1K@ 67¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Daniel Galan. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-17 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Murkel Dellien and Daniel Galan in the Todi, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Murkel Dellien' if Murkel Dellien advances against Daniel Galan. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Galan' if Daniel Galan advances against Murkel Dellien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWSELL Daniel Galan@ 86.0¢15d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Murkel Dellien15d ago
Outcome checks pending
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Murkel Dellien@ 33.0¢15d ago
15m INVALIDATED -16.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Murkel Dellien@ 61.0¢15d ago
15m INVALIDATED -28.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Murkel Dellien; negative values favor Daniel Galan. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMurkel Dellien · $13.8K
6hMurkel Dellien · $63.3K
24hMurkel Dellien · $63.3K

Murkel Dellien price VWAP

Volume-weighted Murkel Dellien price. Daniel Galan fills are converted to the complementary Murkel Dellien probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h29.1¢▼ below by 29.1pp
VWAP 7d29.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Murkel Dellien price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$24.1K
60¢
$1.0K
55¢
$492
50¢
$7.2K
45¢
$5.4K
40¢
$46.5K
35¢
$34.8K
30¢
$41.5K
25¢
$3.4K
20¢
$1.1K
15¢
$14.3K
10¢
$25.3K
5¢
$13.9K
0¢
← now
$49.9K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDaniel Galan$10.2K@ 99.9¢0x0c4c…d70d🐋—15 days ago
BUYDaniel Galan$10.0K@ 97.7¢0x0c4c…d70d🐋—15 days ago
BUYDaniel Galan$14.3K@ 81.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—15 days ago
SELLDaniel Galan$11.2K@ 91.0¢0x547f…2937🐋—15 days ago
SELLDaniel Galan$19.1K@ 87.0¢0x547f…2937🐋—15 days ago
BUYMurkel Dellien$22.1K@ 67.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—15 days ago
BUYDaniel Galan$13.4K@ 60.0¢0x547f…2937🐋—15 days ago
BUYMurkel Dellien$14.8K@ 34.2¢0x5f65…2036🐋—15 days ago
BUYMurkel Dellien$12.9K@ 37.0¢0x5f65…2036🐋—15 days ago