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Fight to Go the Distance?

Sports→Settlement: YESLiquidity: $62.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $78.7KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)
100.0¢
YES payout
0.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLYES$5.3K@ 100¢·alpheclabs

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome YES. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Anthony Hernandez and Gregory Rodrigues at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

•Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Anthony Hernandez and Gregory Rodrigues at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xcb70…3a122 linked markets · $8.4K gross
0xe911…3d4e2 linked markets · $810 gross
0xc785…4ef22 linked markets · $99 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY NO@ 66.0¢1d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNO · $8.5K
6hNO · $25.1K
24hNO · $25.1K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h33.5¢▲ above by 66.5pp
VWAP 7d33.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5.3K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$126
70¢
$91
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$33
30¢
$0
25¢
$324
20¢
$16.6K
15¢
$9.1K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Rex416No$18.6K
BUY VWAP 80.8¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.