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Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)

Sports→Settlement: Washington MysticsLiquidity: $96.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $82.4KEvent: Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics
100.0¢
Washington Mystics payout
0.0¢
Phoenix Mercury payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPhoenix Mercury$4.0K@ 50¢·0xafe4…f3f7

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Washington Mystics. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-09 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Washington Mystics" if the Washington Mystics win the game by 2 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 9 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Mystics" if the Washington Mystics win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Washington Mystics; negative values favor Phoenix Mercury. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhoenix Mercury · $3.5K
6hPhoenix Mercury · $9.1K
24hPhoenix Mercury · $20.5K

Washington Mystics price VWAP

Volume-weighted Washington Mystics price. Phoenix Mercury fills are converted to the complementary Washington Mystics probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h59.0¢▲ above by 41.0pp
VWAP 7d59.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Washington Mystics price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$3.6K
90¢
$2.0K
85¢
$3
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$20.7K
45¢
$3.3K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.