LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winner

● quote 81 min ago
SportsCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $321.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $134.4KEvent: LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets50Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:58 trades$58.7K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 149 min agoofficial metadata 85 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $15.1K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$20.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDN SOOPers Challengers (NO)$17.7K@ 100¢·Sisyphus.

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$7.8K
tracked
$58.7K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$15.1K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 81 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 149 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 85 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-16 07:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between T1 Academy and DN SOOPers Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group, initially scheduled for August 15 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "T1 Academy" if T1 Academy win Game 1 against DN SOOPers Challengers. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers Challengers" if DN SOOPers Challengers win Game 1 against T1 Academy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xd016…61143 linked markets · $34.8K gross
johnbaster3 linked markets · $10.1K gross
0xd3bc…5bd23 linked markets · $7.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h$7.8K
24h$6.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h10.7¢▼ below by 10.6pp
VWAP 7d10.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.4K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$3.9K
55¢
$1.8K
50¢
$1.3K
45¢
$279
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.3K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$169
10¢
$19
5¢
$233
0¢
← now
$48.2K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYDN SOOPers Challengers (NO)$17.7K@ 99.9¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sisyphus.DN SOOPers Challengers$17.7K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.