Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
NO pressure: −$23.8K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.
1 verified profitable wallet: +$3.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 57% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX Challengers and BNK FearX Youth in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group, initially scheduled for August 11 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX Challengers" if Kiwoom DRX Challengers win Game 1 against BNK FearX Youth. This market will resolve to "BNK FearX Youth" if BNK FearX Youth win Game 1 against Kiwoom DRX Challengers. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.YES-equivalent VWAP
Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.Largest holders
YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.