PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

● quote 945 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 20 hoursLiquidity: $69.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $85.4KEvent: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
11.0¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution94Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%
24h sample:15 trades$12.9K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 15%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 962 min agoofficial metadata 945 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (YES)$11.9K@ 53¢·0x7d92…8676

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$783
6h
+$12.5K
tracked
$12.9K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 69% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 945 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 962 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 945 minutes old.
  • •The market is not currently accepting orders.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-09 00:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 8 at 8:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 16h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 16h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
swisstony2 linked markets · $16.5K gross
0xb361…73482 linked markets · $1.4K gross
curie3 linked markets · $1.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES DOWN 6.1pp · near-book depth $3 → $42 · 23s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$783
6h+$12.5K
24h+$12.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current11.0¢
VWAP 24h49.9¢▼ below by 38.9pp
VWAP 7d49.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$11.9K
45¢
$16
40¢
$0
35¢
$203
30¢
$0
25¢
$1
20¢
$5
15¢
$0
10¢
← now
$0
5¢
$777
0¢
$18

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (YES)$11.9K@ 53.0¢0x7d92…8676🐋—about 20 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
61.5¢$1.8Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner
55.5¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
26.5¢$867.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
28.0¢$748.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$745.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
30.5¢$535.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$425.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins
43.0¢$414.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x7d92…8676Los Angeles Dodgers$11.9K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.