Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

● quote 690 min ago
SportsCloses: about 14 hoursLiquidity: $237.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $296.8KEvent: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly18Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets46Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:47 trades$116.2K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 714 min agoofficial metadata 687 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$5.2K·4 wallets·$11.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder (NO)$19.6K@ 49¢·0x4301…f601

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$622
6h
−$56.1K
tracked
$116.2K

4 verified profitable wallets: +$5.2K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 690 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 714 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 687 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-08 19:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 8 at 3:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Atlanta Braves and New York Yankees combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SDTrading2 linked markets · $28.4K gross
0x5268…135d2 linked markets · $770 gross
0x2ddd…73b22 linked markets · $9 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Under@ 49.0¢16h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Under@ 49.0¢17h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Under@ 49.0¢17h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Under@ 49.0¢17h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $233$228 · 2s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$622
6h$56.1K
24h$48.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h50.4¢▲ above by 49.5pp
VWAP 7d50.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$95.1K
45¢
$20.5K
40¢
$5
35¢
$627
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYUnder (NO)$19.6K@ 49.0¢0x4301…f601🐋about 17 hours ago
BUYUnder (NO)$14.8K@ 49.0¢0x719b…30e5🐋about 17 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x4301…f601Under$19.6K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
0x719b…30e5Under$16.8K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·2 fills
0x5e94…5ba1Over$14.7K
BUY VWAP 49.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.