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National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

UncategorizedSettlement: Ekaterina AlexandrovaLiquidity: $762.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $897.4KEvent: National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
0.0¢
Aryna Sabalenka payout
100.0¢
Ekaterina Alexandrova payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLEkaterina Alexandrova$19.5K@ 100¢·MMzz398

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Ekaterina Alexandrova. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-16 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Ekaterina Alexandrova. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Alexandrova' if Ekaterina Alexandrova advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Aryna Sabalenka@ 85.0¢17d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -2.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aryna Sabalenka; negative values favor Ekaterina Alexandrova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAryna Sabalenka · $13.1K
6hAryna Sabalenka · $11.9K
24hAryna Sabalenka · $39.7K

Aryna Sabalenka price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aryna Sabalenka price. Ekaterina Alexandrova fills are converted to the complementary Aryna Sabalenka probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h59.7¢▼ below by 59.7pp
VWAP 7d59.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aryna Sabalenka price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$9.0K
85¢
$52.9K
80¢
$31.8K
75¢
$9.2K
70¢
$8.8K
65¢
$9.2K
60¢
$9.4K
55¢
$22.8K
50¢
$13.4K
45¢
$18.4K
40¢
$8.3K
35¢
$4.5K
30¢
$19.1K
25¢
$13.4K
20¢
$6.2K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$55.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLEkaterina Alexandrova$10.1K@ 99.9¢
mamee20x461d…db9e
🐋—16 days ago
SELLEkaterina Alexandrova$19.5K@ 99.9¢
MMzz3980x2978…b511
🐋—16 days ago
BUYAryna Sabalenka$17.0K@ 85.0¢
angelat00xd849…6ac7
🐋—17 days ago