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National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur

UncategorizedSettlement: Cameron NorrieLiquidity: $309.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.9MEvent: National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur
100.0¢
Cameron Norrie payout
0.0¢
Alex de Minaur payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCameron Norrie$42.3K@ 44¢·0x5f65…2036

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Cameron Norrie. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-13 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Cameron Norrie and Alex de Minaur in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cameron Norrie' if Cameron Norrie advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Cameron Norrie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Cameron Norrie17d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Cameron Norrie@ 42.0¢17d ago
15m CONFIRMED +10.0pp1h INVALIDATED -28.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cameron Norrie; negative values favor Alex de Minaur. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCameron Norrie · $6.7K
6hCameron Norrie · $36.5K
24hCameron Norrie · $36.5K

Cameron Norrie price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cameron Norrie price. Alex de Minaur fills are converted to the complementary Cameron Norrie probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h44.9¢▲ above by 55.1pp
VWAP 7d44.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cameron Norrie price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$6.7K
90¢
$201
85¢
$8.9K
80¢
$1.0K
75¢
$964
70¢
$0
65¢
$6.5K
60¢
$92
55¢
$146
50¢
$132
45¢
$211
40¢
$56.1K
35¢
$661
30¢
$105
25¢
$10.2K
20¢
$2.6K
15¢
$1.7K
10¢
$993
5¢
$196
0¢
$11.5K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlex de Minaur$11.2K@ 97.1¢
swisstony0x204f…5e14
🐋—17 days ago
BUYAlex de Minaur$12.0K@ 59.9¢
Vps10xb2d2…3910
🐋—17 days ago
BUYCameron Norrie$42.3K@ 43.5¢0x5f65…2036🐋—17 days ago
BUYCameron Norrie$10.1K@ 25.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—17 days ago