LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner

● quote 696 min ago
SportsCloses: about 12 hoursLiquidity: $342.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $838.2KEvent: LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly24Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets98Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 51%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:172 trades$25.8K trackedsource coverage 3%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 731 min agoofficial metadata 688 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$19·2 wallets·$68 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGIANTX (NO)$3.8K@ 72¢·five5120

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$186
6h
−$13.0K
tracked
$25.8K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$19 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 51% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 696 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 731 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 688 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-07 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Shifters and GIANTX in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 7 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win Game 2 against GIANTX. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win Game 2 against Shifters. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
five51202 linked markets · $6.8K gross
0xf201…527e3 linked markets · $6.2K gross
0x3471…f17e3 linked markets · $4.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 11.5pp · near-book depth $4.7K$2.6K · 11s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$186
6h$13.0K
24h$13.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h59.5¢▲ above by 40.4pp
VWAP 7d59.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5.9K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$1.5K
70¢
$5.9K
65¢
$263
60¢
$153
55¢
$686
50¢
$494
45¢
$500
40¢
$773
35¢
$2.8K
30¢
$0
25¢
$4.5K
20¢
$0
15¢
$236
10¢
$2.0K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.