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National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova

● quote 35 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $246.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $406.0KEvent: National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection27Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 68%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:74 trades$45.1K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 11%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 59 min agoofficial metadata 35 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$34.8K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$34.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYElina Svitolina (YES)$30.4K@ 72¢·tennischamp

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$12.3K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$12.3K
6h
+$43.7K
tracked
$45.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$34.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 68% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +27.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 35 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 59 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 35 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-12 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Elina Svitolina and Anastasia Potapova in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitolina' if Elina Svitolina advances against Anastasia Potapova. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Potapova' if Anastasia Potapova advances against Elina Svitolina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 35m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 35m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Elina Svitolina@ 73.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED +2.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$12.3K
6h+$43.7K
24h+$43.7K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h79.1¢▲ above by 20.8pp
VWAP 7d79.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$9.4K
90¢
$4.2K
85¢
$44
80¢
$101
75¢
$66
70¢
$31.3K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYElina Svitolina (YES)$30.4K@ 72.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

tennischampElina Svitolina$31.0K
BUY VWAP 72.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.