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National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca

UncategorizedSettlement: Joao FonsecaLiquidity: $543.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $489.6KEvent: National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca
0.0¢
Stefanos Tsitsipas payout
100.0¢
Joao Fonseca payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYStefanos Tsitsipas$1.5K@ 24¢·PAROLIBOYS

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Joao Fonseca. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-12 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Joao Fonseca in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Joao Fonseca. This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 19d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Stefanos Tsitsipas; negative values favor Joao Fonseca. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hStefanos Tsitsipas · $1.9K
6hStefanos Tsitsipas · $2.5K
24hStefanos Tsitsipas · $2.5K

Stefanos Tsitsipas price VWAP

Volume-weighted Stefanos Tsitsipas price. Joao Fonseca fills are converted to the complementary Stefanos Tsitsipas probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h30.1¢▼ below by 30.1pp
VWAP 7d30.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Stefanos Tsitsipas price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$571
50¢
$206
45¢
$1.6K
40¢
$3.6K
35¢
$251
30¢
$0
25¢
$858
20¢
$2.1K
15¢
$337
10¢
$39
5¢
$274
0¢
← now
$2.0K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity