Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

● quote 151 min ago
SportsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $898.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $2.7MEvent: Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly23Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets43Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 68%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:274 trades$356.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 13%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 163 min agoofficial metadata 148 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$123.0K·4 wallets(1🐋)·$289.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUY1win (YES)$205.4K@ 50¢·Djdjdjekekek

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$2.5K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.5K
6h
−$98.8K
tracked
$356.3K

4 verified profitable wallets: +$123.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 68% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 151 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 163 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 148 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-05 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket semifinal match between 1win and BetBoom Team in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win the match against BetBoom Team. This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win the match against 1win. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $50.0K gross
0xde24…4ded2 linked markets · $18.1K gross
0xcf3a…fbfd2 linked markets · $14.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY 1win@ 48.0¢11h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h CONFIRMED +46.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY 1win@ 51.0¢13h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -4.0pp6h CONFIRMED +8.0pp
Latest book event: NO DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $359$367 · 2s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$2.5K
6h$98.8K
24h+$94.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h64.4¢▲ above by 35.5pp
VWAP 7d64.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$103.8K
90¢
$1.2K
85¢
$857
80¢
$2.6K
75¢
$10
70¢
$46
65¢
$2.3K
60¢
$2.6K
55¢
$37
50¢
$2.5K
45¢
$233.7K
40¢
$1.3K
35¢
$2
30¢
$446
25¢
$4.3K
20¢
$667
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELL1win (YES)$50.0K@ 99.9¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋about 4 hours ago
SELL1win (YES)$25.0K@ 99.9¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋about 4 hours ago
SELL1win (YES)$15.1K@ 99.9¢0xde24…4ded🐋about 4 hours ago
BUY1win (YES)$205.4K@ 50.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋about 13 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Djdjdjekekek1win$206.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.