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National Bank Open: Iva Jovic vs Magda Linette

● quote 59s ago
UncategorizedCloses: 8 daysLiquidity: $267.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $199.7KEvent: National Bank Open: Iva Jovic vs Magda Linette
99.9¢
YES
3.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly69Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:33 trades$52.6K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 26%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$61·2 wallets·$61 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIva Jovic (YES)$50.9K@ 92¢·tennischamp

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$121
6h
+$51.7K
tracked
$52.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$61 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +9.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 22 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 9.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-13 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Iva Jovic and Magda Linette in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iva Jovic' if Iva Jovic advances against Magda Linette. This market will resolve to 'Magda Linette' if Magda Linette advances against Iva Jovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Iva Jovic@ 91.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -15.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $24.4K → $22.0K · 94s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$121
6h+$51.7K
24h+$51.7K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h91.5¢▲ above by 8.4pp
VWAP 7d91.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$564
90¢
$51.2K
85¢
$507
80¢
$58
75¢
$1
70¢
$346
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYIva Jovic (YES)$50.9K@ 91.6¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

tennischampIva Jovic$50.9K
BUY VWAP 91.6¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.