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LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner

● quote 452 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 6 hoursLiquidity: $622.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $468.4KEvent: LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly8Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:133 trades$41.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 9%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 497 min agoofficial metadata 457 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $5.4K·2 wallets·$5.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGen.G (YES)$10.2K@ 83¢·retroactivesource

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$100
6h
+$24.6K
tracked
$41.9K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$5.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 452 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 497 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 457 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-04 15:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between Gen.G and DN SOOPers in the KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier, initially scheduled for August 4 at 4:15AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 2 against DN SOOPers. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 2 against Gen.G. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xa469…07822 linked markets · $9.4K gross
0xc69b…20763 linked markets · $5.8K gross
0xe361…ae442 linked markets · $2.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 6.7pp · near-book depth $121 → $41.5K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$100
6h+$24.6K
24h+$24.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h86.8¢▲ above by 13.2pp
VWAP 7d86.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$9.3K
90¢
$4.3K
85¢
$3.4K
80¢
$22.6K
75¢
$54
70¢
$455
65¢
$1.7K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYGen.G (YES)$10.2K@ 83.0¢
retroactivesource0x85d5…45ee
🐋—about 11 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

retroactivesourceGen.G$10.2K
BUY VWAP 83.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.