PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Katerina Siniakova

● quote 2922 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $374.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $407.6KEvent: National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Katerina Siniakova
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly60Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets31Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$700·3 wallets·$2.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKaterina Siniakova (NO)$16.8K@ 65¢·angelat0

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$21
6h
−$24.2K
tracked
$35.8K

3 verified profitable wallets: +$700 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 0 tracked trades / 65 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 2922 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 2936 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-11 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kamilla Rakhimova and Katerina Siniakova in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kamilla Rakhimova' if Kamilla Rakhimova advances against Katerina Siniakova. This market will resolve to 'Katerina Siniakova' if Katerina Siniakova advances against Kamilla Rakhimova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Katerina Siniakova@ 66.0¢2d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$21
6h−$24.2K
24h−$24.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h35.4¢▲ above by 64.5pp
VWAP 7d35.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$436
75¢
$124
70¢
$66
65¢
$6
60¢
$8
55¢
$2.2K
50¢
$1.4K
45¢
$416
40¢
$1.8K
35¢
$18.6K
30¢
$27
25¢
$10.7K
20¢
$12
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYKaterina Siniakova (NO)$10.5K@ 75.0¢0x04e6…3914🐋—2 days ago
BUYKaterina Siniakova (NO)$16.8K@ 65.0¢
angelat00xd849…6ac7
🐋—2 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

angelat0Katerina Siniakova$16.8K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·1 fill
0x04e6…3914Katerina Siniakova$10.5K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.