LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner

● quote 38 min ago

Sports→Closes: 29 minutesLiquidity: $408.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $610.6KEvent: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

99.9¢

YES

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly23Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:137 trades$86.5K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 14%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 82 min agoofficial metadata 40 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $157·3 wallets·$157 gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYInvictus Gaming (YES)$49.0K@ 79¢·retroactivesource

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

−$599

+$72.2K

tracked

$86.5K

3 verified profitable wallets: −$157 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +20.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 38 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 82 minutes old.
•Official market metadata is 40 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

proposed

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-09 11:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Invictus Gaming and LNG Esports in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 9 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 2 against LNG Esports. This market will resolve to "LNG Esports" if LNG Esports win Game 2 against Invictus Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

0x9e3e…f8824 linked markets · $5.8K gross

0xf030…12e22 linked markets · $4.0K gross

0xcae6…4f852 linked markets · $2.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Invictus Gaming3h ago

Outcome checks pending

ANTI CHASEBUY Invictus Gaming3h ago

Outcome checks pending

LARGE FLOWBUY Invictus Gaming@ 80.0¢3h ago

15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE

LARGE FLOWBUY Invictus Gaming@ 80.0¢3h ago

15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE

Latest book event: NO DOWN 8.5pp · near-book depth $16 → $1.1K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h−$599

6h+$72.2K

24h+$72.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current99.9¢

VWAP 24h81.0¢▲ above by 18.9pp

VWAP 7d81.0¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

← now

$4.5K

90¢

$8.3K

85¢

$350

80¢

$1.5K