PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)

Sports→Settlement: Dustin StoltzfusLiquidity: $470.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $803.6KEvent: UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)
100.0¢
Dustin Stoltzfus payout
0.0¢
Mansur Abdul-Malik payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDustin Stoltzfus$183.1K@ 100¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Dustin Stoltzfus. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-16 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Dustin Stoltzfus" if Dustin Stoltzfus is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mansur Abdul-Malik at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Mansur Abdul-Malik" if Mansur Abdul-Malik is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Dustin Stoltzfus" if Dustin Stoltzfus is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mansur Abdul-Malik at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Mansur Abdul-Malik" if Mansur Abdul-Malik is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 7d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Mansur Abdul-Malik@ 56.0¢8d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Dustin Stoltzfus@ 17.0¢8d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Dustin Stoltzfus; negative values favor Mansur Abdul-Malik. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMansur Abdul-Malik · $258.6K
6hMansur Abdul-Malik · $254.6K
24hMansur Abdul-Malik · $258.9K

Dustin Stoltzfus price VWAP

Volume-weighted Dustin Stoltzfus price. Mansur Abdul-Malik fills are converted to the complementary Dustin Stoltzfus probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h62.1¢▲ above by 37.9pp
VWAP 7d62.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Dustin Stoltzfus price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$195.7K
90¢
$0
85¢
$2.0K
80¢
$2.3K
75¢
$0
70¢
$2.5K
65¢
$1.0K
60¢
$0
55¢
$2.0K
50¢
$0
45¢
$3.9K
40¢
$3.2K
35¢
$5
30¢
$666
25¢
$2.3K
20¢
$2.8K
15¢
$151.2K
10¢
$1.8K
5¢
$45
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDustin Stoltzfus$183.1K@ 99.9¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—8 days ago
BUYMansur Abdul-Malik$89.5K@ 85.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—8 days ago
BUYDustin Stoltzfus$24.0K@ 16.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—8 days ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$392.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$246.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.7¢$230.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.5¢$202.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
0.9¢$188.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$182.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.4¢$181.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.